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From Ukraine’s Frozen Cities to the Arctic and the Caribbean, a New Global Order Is Being Forged by Missiles, Oil, and Raw Power

 WINTER AS A WEAPON: RUSSIA’S STRATEGIC ESCALATION IN UKRAINE

Ukraine has entered one of the darkest phases of the war, not only militarily, but also humanitarianly. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy accused Russia of deliberately exploiting freezing winter temperatures to maximize civilian suffering, as Moscow launched one of its largest overnight assaults since the invasion began.

Temperatures plunged below –10°C, while Russian forces struck power grids, heating systems, water facilities, and civilian infrastructure, leaving millions exposed to lethal cold.

The United Nations condemned the strikes, confirming at least four civilian deaths, while warning that winterized infrastructure destruction constitutes a severe humanitarian violation.

 THE ORESHNIK MOMENT: A MISSILE THAT CHANGES THE WAR

For only the second time in the conflict, Russia deployed its most ominous weapon yet—the Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile.

Why Oreshnik Matters

Recovered debris near the European Union border in Lviv confirms the missile’s operational use, triggering alarm across NATO.

Technical Significance

• Hypersonic terminal speed exceeding Mach 10
• Recursive MIRV payload releasing 36 independent kinetic penetrators
• Plasma sheath formation that blinds X-band radar
• Pure kinetic energy impact, capable of collapsing underground facilities without explosives

Military analysts now classify Oreshnik as a “Strategic Non-Nuclear Weapon”—a system that delivers ICBM-level destruction without crossing the nuclear threshold.

Legal & Strategic Fallout

Ukraine’s Security Service (SBU) has formally classified the strike as a war crime, citing deliberate attacks on civilian infrastructure.
The European Union described the missile’s use as a “clear escalation and a warning to Europe and the United States.”

✦ BATTLEFIELD REALITY: RUSSIA’S MULTI-FRONT PRESSURE

While strategic weapons dominate headlines, the ground war is intensifying.

Russian Claimed Advances

• Podoly (Kharkiv region)
• Bratskoye (Dnipropetrovsk region)
• Expansion of a 9 km² bridgehead west of the Gishure River

Ukrainian Warnings

• Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi describes Pokrovsk as the most critical front
• Around 50 combat engagements daily
• Russian forces consolidating for future offensives

The firing of an Oreshnik missile at Lviv—just 40 km from NATO territory— coincided ominously with Western announcements of troop deployments.

✦ NATO’S RED LINE: THE “COALITION OF THE WILLING.”

The United Kingdom, France, and Ukraine announced plans to deploy military hubs across Ukraine following any ceasefire.

Though described as non-frontline stabilizing forces, Moscow has rejected this outright.

Russia’s Warning

Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova declared:

Any Western troops, bases, or military infrastructure on Ukrainian soil will be treated as legitimate military targets.

This marks a dangerous convergence point between hypersonic escalation and NATO proximity.

✦ EUROPE FRACTURES: UNITY BREAKS UNDER PRESSURE

Europe is no longer speaking with one voice.

Slovakia & Czech Republic Revolt

• Robert Fico draws hard red lines:
• 

 No soldiers
• 

 No weapons
• 

 No NATO membership for Ukraine
• Andrej Babiš reveals that only France and Britain support boots on the ground

Fico condemned the strategy of attrition as “wrong and evil,” arguing it only prolongs mass death without weakening Russia.

 MELONI: GEOPOLITICS, NOT GOSSIP

Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni firmly rejected calls to distance Italy from the United States.

Mocking critics, she asked:

“Do they expect me to attack McDonald’s?”

Her Core Message

• Italy’s foreign policy is rooted in NATO, the EU, and the Atlantic alliance
• Disagreements with partners—including Donald Trump—are normal
• International law matters because when it collapses, everyone becomes vulnerable

Meloni framed diplomacy as serious geopolitics, not ideological theatrics.

✦ THE VENEZUELA SHOCK: AMERICA SEIZES THE OIL STATE

In a move that stunned the world, President Donald Trump announced a $100 billion plan to rebuild Venezuela’s oil infrastructure—after a military operation captured Nicolás Maduro.

Key Developments

• 30 million barrels of Venezuelan oil already en route to U.S. ports
• U.S. government now directly manages Venezuela’s petroleum policy
• ExxonMobil, Chevron, and ConocoPhillips granted total military security
• Trump claims the U.S. and Venezuela now control ~55% of global oil

Trump bluntly told CEOs:

“You will deal with us directly.”

This is energy imperialism without pretense.

✦ THE “EXCLUSION DOCTRINE”: END OF MULTILATERALISM

Trump formalized a new doctrine aimed at purging Russian and Chinese influence from:

• The Western Hemisphere
• The Arctic

Greenland Becomes the Next Flashpoint

Trump declared the U.S. will take Greenland:

“The easy way—or the hard way.”

Denmark and Greenland rejected the threat, warning of a catastrophic NATO crisis.

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk responded with alarm, stating:

“The survival of the Western world depends on a cohesive transatlantic alliance.”

✦ SANCTIONS, SEAS & SHADOW FLEETS

Tensions escalated further after the U.S. seized the Russian-flagged oil tanker Marinera, accused of evading sanctions.

Moscow’s Response

• Dmitry Medvedev accused the West of “war madness.”
• Called U.S. actions a violation of international maritime law
• Framed the seizure as part of a broader energy war

The world’s oceans are now battlefields of law, oil, and coercion.

✦ EUROPE’S INTERNAL FIRE: FARMERS REVOLT

As war rages externally, Europe burns internally.

France Explodes Over EU-Mercosur Deal

• Tractor blockades in Paris
• Farmers warn of bankruptcy due to cheap imports
• France is politically isolated despite voting against the deal

The crisis exposes the disconnect between Brussels and the reality of European society on the ground.

 CONCLUSION: A WORLD ENTERING THE AGE OF RAW POWER

What we are witnessing is not a series of isolated crises—but the collapse of the post-Cold War order.

• Hypersonic missiles replace diplomacy
• Energy corridors replace sovereignty
• Military protection replaces international law
• Alliances fracture under pressure

From Ukraine’s frozen cities to Greenland’s icy shores and Venezuela’s oil fields, the world is entering an era where power speaks louder than principle.

The question is no longer whether escalation will continue—
But who will be left standing when restraint finally disappears?

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Written by  Eelaththu Nilavan
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11/01/2026